WolfsburgHome
21:00Scheduled
OsnabrückAway
Sportic Genie
Wolfsburg win
Pick Wolfsburg to win: at home across their last five, they have two wins and three draws, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 per game, with a 7-3 first-half edge.
Osnabrück have scored two per game away in their last five, including six first-half goals.
Expect the home win with both sides contributing.
Wolfsburg’s home margin is only +1.2 per game, so pass on -1; their two venue-specific scoring rates combine to 4.4, supporting Over 3.5 at 1.91.
Wolfsburg vs Osnabrück
Market signal
Implied vs actual win
Wolfsburg win value +6.4pp
Wolfsburg winActual 66.7%
+6.4pp
DrawActual 18.6%
-2.7pp
Osnabrück winActual 18.9%
+0.5pp
- Games at matching odds
- Wolfsburg36 gamesDraw43 gamesOsnabrück37 games
Odds Flow
- Wolfsburg1.57
- Osnabrück5.00
- Draw4.20
| Time | Wolfsburg | Osnabrück | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.31 13:21 | 1.57 ▴ | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| 10.29 22:22 | 1.55 ▴ | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| 10.27 21:24 | 1.53 ▴ | 5.00 ▾ | 4.33 |
Odds · Last 5 games
- WolfsburgAvg 2.57· Win 40%
- OsnabrückAvg 3.05· Win 20%
Team condition
Last 5 Games
Wolfsburg
Osnabrück
40.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
20.0%3.0
Avg Scoredhome advantage
1.42.0
Avg Concededaway advantage
1.41.0
Avg Marginhome advantage
0.0Home Team Analysis
Average2W40%
2W3D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.4
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.17
Wolfsburg
3-1
Heidenheim
W
26.09.19
Wolfsburg
5-1
Darmstadt
W
26.09.05
Wolfsburg
4-4
Cottbus
D
26.08.09
Wolfsburg
0-0
Kaiserslautern
D
26.05.22
Wolfsburg
0-0
Paderborn
D
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg are 2-3-0 at home in their last five, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Their first-half goals lead 7-3, but second halves across their last five show six scored and seven conceded. Three straight home draws remain a warning.
Away Team Analysis
Average40%
2W1D2L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.18
Arminia
2-1
Osnabrück
L
26.09.19
Kiel
1-1
Osnabrück
D
26.08.29
Bochum
0-1
Osnabrück
W
26.08.08
Heidenheim
4-3
Osnabrück
L
26.05.16
Stuttgart II
3-4
Osnabrück
W
Osnabrück
Osnabrück are 2-1-2 away in their last five, scoring and conceding two per game. Their first-half record is 6-5, but the second half is 4-5. Across 16 away games all seasons, 19 scored and 33 conceded accompany a 3-4-9 record: scoring has not ensured points.