HeatHome
| PlayerPlayer | GPGP | PTSPTS | REBREB | ASTAST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 22.3 | 12.7 | 5.7 | |
Bam Adebayo(C) | 3 | 17.3 | 8.3 | 3.3 |
| 3 | 17.7 | 0.7 | 7.3 |
PacersAway
| PlayerPlayer | GPGP | PTSPTS | REBREB | ASTAST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 22.3 | 10.3 | 5.0 | |
Obi Toppin(F) | 3 | 14.3 | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 |
Sportic Genie
No Genie pick for this market
The Miami Heat are the pick, but their three straight home losses and quarter deficits make an early lead hard to trust.
The Miami Heat are the likelier winner.
Their 1.6 win odds are shorter than the Indiana Pacers' 2.41.
The Pacers, though, lead the last five meetings 3-2.
Heat vs Pacers
Market signal
Implied vs actual win
Heat win value +4.0pp
Heat winActual 64.1%
+4.0pp
Pacers winActual 39.7%
-0.2pp
- Games at matching odds
- Heat245 gamesPacers126 games
Odds Flow
- Heat1.30
- Pacers3.65
| Time | Heat | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| 10.31 07:51 | 1.30 ▾ | 3.65 ▴ |
| 10.30 22:30 | 1.31 ▴ | 3.60 ▾ |
| 10.30 21:00 | 1.30 ▾ | 3.65 ▴ |
Odds · Last 5 games
- HeatAvg 1.81· Win 20%
- PacersAvg 1.87· Win 40%
Team condition
Last 5 games
Heat
Pacers
113.0
Avg Pointsaway advantage
115.042.8
Reboundsaway advantage
44.027.0
Assistsaway advantage
29.48.4
Stealshome advantage
6.414.8
Turnovershome advantage
15.421.0
Foulshome advantage
22.2Key Players
Key Players
Davion Mitchell has scored 20.33 points per game over his last three, above his 18.0-point season average. His 5.67 assists, however, are below his 7.0 season mark. Obi Toppin counters with 5.67 rebounds, above his 5.0 season average, despite scoring below his season rate.
Home Team Analysis
Poor3L20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredStrong
118.8
Avg ConcededUnstable
125.0
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.27
Heat
109-113
Mavs
L
26.10.24
Heat
111-128
Pistons
L
26.10.22
Heat
106-131
Timberwolves
L
26.10.15
Heat
144-128
Nets
W
26.10.11
Heat
124-125
Timberwolves
L
Heat
The Miami Heat have lost three straight at home. They are outscored 32.67 to 27.0 points per game in the third quarter. They also trail 32.67 to 28.33 in the first. The second quarter is another deficit, 29.67 to 26.33.
Away Team Analysis
Average40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredAverage
114.2
Avg ConcededAverage
113.4
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.27
Bucks
110-102
Pacers
L
26.10.26
Nets
109-136
Pacers
W
26.10.22
Pelicans
120-123
Pacers
W
26.10.14
Thunder
114-112
Pacers
L
26.07.16
Timberwolves
114-98
Pacers
L
Pacers
The Indiana Pacers went 2-1 in their last three road games. They outscore opponents 30.33 to 28.0 points per game in the second quarter. They also lead 30.33 to 28.0 in the third. In the fourth, they score 29.33 and allow 27.67 points per game.
H2H Analysis
Average40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredStrong
119.8
Avg ConcededUnstable
124.4
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.30
Pacers
135-118
Heat
W
26.01.11
Pacers
123-99
Heat
W
25.12.28
Heat
142-116
Pacers
W
25.03.01
Heat
125-120
Pacers
W
25.01.03
Heat
115-128
Pacers
L
H2H Analysis
Scoring has been level in the meetings, but the Indiana Pacers averaged 124.4 points to the Miami Heat's 119.8 across the last five. The Pacers also lead that series 3-2.